Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.923972 3.498028 4.139866 4.908435 5.801379 6.803678 8.011370
2025-11-02 1.995185 2.693542 3.558459 4.699449 6.154933 7.938425 10.276748
2025-11-09 1.446053 2.164509 3.134393 4.520162 6.426278 8.929557 12.433809
2025-11-16 1.139326 1.864306 2.917609 4.526569 6.881202 10.151809 14.975737
2025-11-23 0.922826 1.636531 2.743762 4.537445 7.307147 11.342957 17.563811
2025-11-30 0.750205 1.434631 2.563094 4.492141 7.618755 12.373405 19.993180
2025-12-07 0.587828 1.211781 2.304165 4.271782 7.612841 12.903927 21.699719
2025-12-14 0.489524 1.080608 2.173032 4.234594 7.881677 13.865349 24.132524
2025-12-21 0.413490 0.974522 2.066022 4.217798 8.171986 14.873843 26.710277
2025-12-28 0.381245 0.949975 2.105402 4.467789 8.947681 16.745755 30.846341
2026-01-04 0.339684 0.896246 2.077966 4.584739 9.490503 18.259333 34.488530
2026-01-11 0.310404 0.863784 2.087622 4.772729 10.179892 20.078827 38.785923
2026-01-18 0.268158 0.792626 2.006876 4.772838 10.521523 21.325402 42.212867
2026-01-25 0.220267 0.695694 1.852686 4.597054 10.496630 21.896962 44.473204
2026-02-01 0.181260 0.611796 1.712671 4.429763 10.465681 22.447199 46.727708
2026-02-08 0.158073 0.565953 1.655305 4.438726 10.800059 23.722378 50.430186
2026-02-15 0.138337 0.524996 1.602634 4.450251 11.138701 25.029008 54.280980
2026-02-22 0.119102 0.480128 1.531367 4.405983 11.347091 26.085693 57.711843
2026-03-01 0.096604 0.417398 1.399183 4.189474 11.138397 26.261911 59.393760
2026-03-08 0.083501 0.383214 1.340682 4.152950 11.342273 27.317047 62.926710
2026-03-15 0.072806 0.354465 1.292509 4.136449 11.590873 28.484667 66.766919
2026-03-22 0.070085 0.356148 1.337818 4.382164 12.504869 31.171606 73.963877
2026-03-29 0.064348 0.343784 1.336635 4.497122 13.103338 33.198894 79.878150